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NFC South · NFL 2026
Atlanta Falcons
ATLSeason ShareConstituent of the NFL 2026 Index
$16.91
+2.05 (+13.80%) since the February 19 open
Opened Feb 19$14.865-month range$14.61 – $16.91Redemption ceiling$100.00Vegas win total7.5 (was 6.5)Expected redemption$16.91
Price history
Priced at 11 dated market snapshots since the February open. Gold markers carry news — hover any point.
Redemption ladder
What this share pays, and what the market says it's worth today.
| Event | Pays | Probability | Value in price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Regular-season wins × 7.5 expected | $2.00 ea | — | $15.06 |
| Playoff berth | $2.00 | 27.6% | $0.56 |
| Wild Card | $4.00 | 12.0% | $0.48 |
| Divisional | $8.00 | 4.5% | $0.36 |
| Conference | $12.00 | 1.7% | $0.20 |
| Super Bowl | $40.00 | 0.6% | $0.25 |
| Expected redemption | $16.91 |
News
1 offseason event affecting this team.
QB carousel: Tua to Atlanta, Willis to Miami, Evans to San Francisco
Falcons add Tagovailoa on a one-year minimum; Dolphins sign Malik Willis at roughly $22.5M/yr; the 49ers pull Mike Evans out of Tampa.
Read the report ↗
Probabilities
Devigged from published DraftKings win, playoff and title markets and normalised across all 32 teams.
Playoff berth27.6%
pays $2.00 · worth $0.56 in today's price
Wild Card12.0%
pays $4.00 · worth $0.48 in today's price
Divisional4.5%
pays $8.00 · worth $0.36 in today's price
Conference1.7%
pays $12.00 · worth $0.20 in today's price
Super Bowl0.6%
pays $40.00 · worth $0.25 in today's price
What you're paying for
Every dollar of the price, mapped to the events that back it.
17 win contracts$15.06Playoff ladder$1.85Expected redemption$16.91Share price$16.91
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