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NFC West · NFL 2026
San Francisco 49ers
SFSeason ShareConstituent of the NFL 2026 Index
$25.43
-2.01 (-7.33%) since the February 19 open
Opened Feb 19$27.445-month range$25.36 – $27.59Redemption ceiling$100.00Vegas win total9.5 (was 10.5)Expected redemption$25.43
Price history
Priced at 11 dated market snapshots since the February open. Gold markers carry news — hover any point.
Redemption ladder
What this share pays, and what the market says it's worth today.
| Event | Pays | Probability | Value in price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Regular-season wins × 9.5 expected | $2.00 ea | — | $19.07 |
| Playoff berth | $2.00 | 55.8% | $1.12 |
| Wild Card | $4.00 | 32.6% | $1.30 |
| Divisional | $8.00 | 16.5% | $1.32 |
| Conference | $12.00 | 8.3% | $0.99 |
| Super Bowl | $40.00 | 4.1% | $1.63 |
| Expected redemption | $25.43 |
News
1 offseason event affecting this team.
QB carousel: Tua to Atlanta, Willis to Miami, Evans to San Francisco
Falcons add Tagovailoa on a one-year minimum; Dolphins sign Malik Willis at roughly $22.5M/yr; the 49ers pull Mike Evans out of Tampa.
Read the report ↗
Probabilities
Devigged from published DraftKings win, playoff and title markets and normalised across all 32 teams.
Playoff berth55.8%
pays $2.00 · worth $1.12 in today's price
Wild Card32.6%
pays $4.00 · worth $1.30 in today's price
Divisional16.5%
pays $8.00 · worth $1.32 in today's price
Conference8.3%
pays $12.00 · worth $0.99 in today's price
Super Bowl4.1%
pays $40.00 · worth $1.63 in today's price
What you're paying for
Every dollar of the price, mapped to the events that back it.
17 win contracts$19.07Playoff ladder$6.36Expected redemption$25.43Share price$25.43
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